Forrester reports that the forecasted growth of high street retail in many verticals is a paltry few percent for the next few years, whilst the forecasted etail numbers in the same vertical are in some cases, almost doubling every year. in other words etail is taking off. Bigtime.
Some retail verticals are almost 'pannicking' as they dont have the processes, resources and people in place to move their business online.
I have been pondering the more deeper components of this question for some time now as their are a few things that dont add up when comparing one country to another.
for instance the USA is the world leader in terms of online sales and this is closely followed by the UK.
What i dont understand, and this is a question close to my heart, is why a country like Australia, who in many respects is as educated, technically infrastructure advanced, similar culture, similar income levels - is so far behind in terms of etail adoption. I noticed this a few months ago when i was there - that relative to population size, the very notion of people 'buying online' was either limited or laughable.
The same applies for Western Europe, who it would seem to a lesser extent, is still behind the UK in 'buying online' terms.
I am curious to what the drivers are in pushing (or pulling) people from offline to online, and why these drivers apply in the US and UK but seem to be missing in Oz
Welcome comments
cheers
jon
Scott Doughty
E-Business Analyst at Visual Sciences
19 April 2006 09:53am
Jon how important do you consider the correlation between broadband uptake and "buying online"? Whilst its not the only driver, its surely an important one.
I've observed a monumental shift towards shopping online in the UK in the last 12- 24 months. It seems a tipping point was reached and in the circles I move in, most people have purchased and to a degree regularly purchase online.
To my knowledge broadband adoption in Australia is around 20% however offerings are still expensive and slow compared to the US or UK. The specific demographic groups I feel "spend more online" may still be limited to dialup connectivity at home.
Here's a quote from a KPMG research paper on Australia's Broadband strategy:
Against such a dynamic backdrop, it matters that Australia has a national
broadband strategy but no targets or firm implementation plan as yet. It matters
that, according to the Australian Telecommunications Users Group (ATUG), the
entry level retail broadband plan in Canada is a little cheaper yet offers at least
six times the speed and 30 times the free monthly download capacity of its
Australian equivalent. More than anything, it matters that Australia does not have
a long-term plan towards establishing national infrastructure that will support
higher bandwidth broadband
Great response. Very interesting indeed. It would make absolute sense that a PC that was always on to a service that was always on, at a speed that was as quick as you need - would catalyse online sales. I cant remember ever purchasing anything on dialup.
I imagine the comparison i made to western europe would mean that Broadband speeds there were compararable to the UK 2 years ago also?
As an Australian, I can provide a few anecdotes (but no hard data) that might give some insight:
* Not everyone has "caught on" to the net here yet. I know some people who installed it at home, "didn't like it" and had it disconnected. Most of them have since installed it again, but are the type of users who only use it to send one or two emails a month.
* There have been some high-profile fraud cases here. I know friends who used Internet cafes for their Internet Banking - and of course, their bank details were stolen by the installed spyware. An organized crime syndicate targeted many of the cafes in the city.
* Not all the main internet brands are well known - everyone knows Google, but not everyone has heard of Amazon. That's probably because Amazon doesn't have a local presence, like it does in the UK. A local branch of Amazon could do a lot to drive adoption. Waiting weeks for orders to come from the US takes too long.
* eBay.com.au is growing in popularity. Friends often ask me how to sell things there - but I don't know, because I've never used it. However, "The Quokka" is equally well known - it's a classifieds publication that has a limited online presence.
* Paypal has only just opened an Australian office here. It's only been possible to have a Paypal account in Australian currency for a couple of months now.
* Broadband accounts here are typically around 256K or 512K, often with limited download quota.
Hopefully that will generate some ideas that you can use.
Mark Quinn-Newall
Consultant at E-commerce
19 April 2006 21:28pm
Jon,
Do not know much about Australia especially.......however
Four key generic factors: Any one of which can ignite e-commerce in a particular geographic marketplace:
1. Prior to internet being invented, the existence of a substantial catalogue industry within a geographical market.
Hence providing a bedrock of customers and their retailers who already familiar with “buying without touch” & home delivery issues.
2. The availability of deregulation / broadband within a geographical market
This will provide customers with a much better online experience, at a price point which is friendly to mass market adoption.
3. Scale of individual market size, making economics of entering market place more attractive. It is much easier to enter into a market place which has economic scale which will drive overall volumes and this is a prime reason why the USA rolls out new business models so quickly across a very large homogeneous market opportunity for any new business.
4. Presence of multiple fulfillment / carrier options to be able to drive the “last mile” or in Oz case the last several miles for B2C service.
This is tied to point one above, if there is already an extensive culture of buying via catalogues, then there has to already be in place networks to delivery the product, (albeit normally the old style “28 day delivery” of the offline catalogue industry not being very appealing to “I want it now online buyers”.
regards
Mark
I am curious to what the drivers are in pushing (or pulling) people from offline to online, and why these drivers apply in the US and UK but seem to be missing in Oz
Snr Web eCommerce Manager at Lenovo (Australia & New Zealand)
20 April 2006 09:31am
I think it directly relates to the factors you've highlighted below.
It's also interesting to note however that the key global ecommerce players like eBay & in industries like IT & travel are seeing similar online success in Australia V's US & UK. I think it leads to your points below however that show if you don't the economies of scale & the back end supply chain sorted you can't deliver the type of customer experience you need to make customers continue to buy online.
Australia also falls behind in the area of fulfilment etc due to the immature market in south asia & China which Australia relies heavily on.
The biggest factor which everyone has touched on is the lack of sufficient broadband brought on by our Gov. run ISP - Telstra! Given the success in the UK with their '5 year broadband plan' I can't believe Australia isn't following suit. It's a real shame!
Maybe we could put a petition together!
Cheers
Chris
On 21:28:22 19 April 2006 MarkQuinn-Newall wrote:
Jon,
Do not know much about Australia especially.......however
Four key generic factors: Any one of which can ignite e-commerce in a particular geographic marketplace:
1. Prior to internet being invented, the existence of a substantial catalogue industry within a geographical market.
Hence providing a bedrock of customers and their retailers who already familiar with “buying without touch” & home delivery issues.
2. The availability of deregulation / broadband within a geographical market
This will provide customers with a much better online experience, at a price point which is friendly to mass market adoption.
3. Scale of individual market size, making economics of entering market place more attractive. It is much easier to enter into a market place which has economic scale which will drive overall volumes and this is a prime reason why the USA rolls out new business models so quickly across a very large homogeneous market opportunity for any new business.
4. Presence of multiple fulfillment / carrier options to be able to drive the “last mile” or in Oz case the last several miles for B2C service.
This is tied to point one above, if there is already an extensive culture of buying via catalogues, then there has to already be in place networks to delivery the product, (albeit normally the old style “28 day delivery” of the offline catalogue industry not being very appealing to “I want it now online buyers”.
regards
Mark
I am curious to what the drivers are in pushing (or pulling) people from offline to online, and why these drivers apply in the US and UK but seem to be missing in Oz
Australia has a dynamic internet environment but this is not reflected in etailing figures. Broadband has taken off significantly in the last 6 months after the major ISP dropped its rates substantially. This is just starting to appear in official figures and, probably, impact etailing.
The internet is a key channel for researching and interacting with banks, insurance companies and airlines/travel agents. There is no shortage of online activity and the growth is coming from both the young and the recently retired. For example, to avoid speaking to large companies (e.g. banks) people flock online when the services are offered. The last six months have seen a doubling of health insurers offering online services such as claiming and management of account details. Usage of these services is good.
Online shopping faces several challenges. While Australia is large, the population is quite concentrated. The proliferation of large shopping centres and multi-car families makes it easy to access a wide range of shops. Coupled with not insignificant shipping rates, there is little encouragment to shop online.
I'm confident that when Australian retailers begin to offer a better online service than offline, etailing will improve dramatically. Amazon managed it years ago but few Australian sites have adopted those tools. For the foreseeable future, growth will be solid but it's unlikely to be dramatic.
Director of eCommerce at A well known Telco
18 April 2006 10:22am
Forrester reports that the forecasted growth of high street retail in many verticals is a paltry few percent for the next few years, whilst the forecasted etail numbers in the same vertical are in some cases, almost doubling every year. in other words etail is taking off. Bigtime.
Some retail verticals are almost 'pannicking' as they dont have the processes, resources and people in place to move their business online.
I have been pondering the more deeper components of this question for some time now as their are a few things that dont add up when comparing one country to another.
for instance the USA is the world leader in terms of online sales and this is closely followed by the UK.
What i dont understand, and this is a question close to my heart, is why a country like Australia, who in many respects is as educated, technically infrastructure advanced, similar culture, similar income levels - is so far behind in terms of etail adoption. I noticed this a few months ago when i was there - that relative to population size, the very notion of people 'buying online' was either limited or laughable.
The same applies for Western Europe, who it would seem to a lesser extent, is still behind the UK in 'buying online' terms.
I am curious to what the drivers are in pushing (or pulling) people from offline to online, and why these drivers apply in the US and UK but seem to be missing in Oz
Welcome comments
cheers
jon
E-Business Analyst at Visual Sciences
19 April 2006 09:53am
Jon how important do you consider the correlation between broadband uptake and "buying online"? Whilst its not the only driver, its surely an important one.
I've observed a monumental shift towards shopping online in the UK in the last 12- 24 months. It seems a tipping point was reached and in the circles I move in, most people have purchased and to a degree regularly purchase online.
To my knowledge broadband adoption in Australia is around 20% however offerings are still expensive and slow compared to the US or UK. The specific demographic groups I feel "spend more online" may still be limited to dialup connectivity at home.
Here's a quote from a KPMG research paper on Australia's Broadband strategy:
Against such a dynamic backdrop, it matters that Australia has a national
broadband strategy but no targets or firm implementation plan as yet. It matters
that, according to the Australian Telecommunications Users Group (ATUG), the
entry level retail broadband plan in Canada is a little cheaper yet offers at least
six times the speed and 30 times the free monthly download capacity of its
Australian equivalent. More than anything, it matters that Australia does not have
a long-term plan towards establishing national infrastructure that will support
higher bandwidth broadband
Director of eCommerce at A well known Telco
19 April 2006 09:58am
Great response. Very interesting indeed. It would make absolute sense that a PC that was always on to a service that was always on, at a speed that was as quick as you need - would catalyse online sales. I cant remember ever purchasing anything on dialup.
I imagine the comparison i made to western europe would mean that Broadband speeds there were compararable to the UK 2 years ago also?
cheers
jon
Founder / Chief Developer at namesuppressed
19 April 2006 16:05pm
As an Australian, I can provide a few anecdotes (but no hard data) that might give some insight:
* Not everyone has "caught on" to the net here yet. I know some people who installed it at home, "didn't like it" and had it disconnected. Most of them have since installed it again, but are the type of users who only use it to send one or two emails a month.
* There have been some high-profile fraud cases here. I know friends who used Internet cafes for their Internet Banking - and of course, their bank details were stolen by the installed spyware. An organized crime syndicate targeted many of the cafes in the city.
* Not all the main internet brands are well known - everyone knows Google, but not everyone has heard of Amazon. That's probably because Amazon doesn't have a local presence, like it does in the UK. A local branch of Amazon could do a lot to drive adoption. Waiting weeks for orders to come from the US takes too long.
* eBay.com.au is growing in popularity. Friends often ask me how to sell things there - but I don't know, because I've never used it. However, "The Quokka" is equally well known - it's a classifieds publication that has a limited online presence.
* Paypal has only just opened an Australian office here. It's only been possible to have a Paypal account in Australian currency for a couple of months now.
* Broadband accounts here are typically around 256K or 512K, often with limited download quota.
Hopefully that will generate some ideas that you can use.
Consultant at E-commerce
19 April 2006 21:28pm
Snr Web eCommerce Manager at Lenovo (Australia & New Zealand)
20 April 2006 09:31am
I think it directly relates to the factors you've highlighted below.
It's also interesting to note however that the key global ecommerce players like eBay & in industries like IT & travel are seeing similar online success in Australia V's US & UK. I think it leads to your points below however that show if you don't the economies of scale & the back end supply chain sorted you can't deliver the type of customer experience you need to make customers continue to buy online.
Australia also falls behind in the area of fulfilment etc due to the immature market in south asia & China which Australia relies heavily on.
The biggest factor which everyone has touched on is the lack of sufficient broadband brought on by our Gov. run ISP - Telstra! Given the success in the UK with their '5 year broadband plan' I can't believe Australia isn't following suit. It's a real shame!
Maybe we could put a petition together!
Cheers
Chris
On 21:28:22 19 April 2006 MarkQuinn-Newall wrote:
CEO at Global Reviews
02 May 2006 11:33am
Australia has a dynamic internet environment but this is not reflected in etailing figures. Broadband has taken off significantly in the last 6 months after the major ISP dropped its rates substantially. This is just starting to appear in official figures and, probably, impact etailing.
The internet is a key channel for researching and interacting with banks, insurance companies and airlines/travel agents. There is no shortage of online activity and the growth is coming from both the young and the recently retired. For example, to avoid speaking to large companies (e.g. banks) people flock online when the services are offered. The last six months have seen a doubling of health insurers offering online services such as claiming and management of account details. Usage of these services is good.
Online shopping faces several challenges. While Australia is large, the population is quite concentrated. The proliferation of large shopping centres and multi-car families makes it easy to access a wide range of shops. Coupled with not insignificant shipping rates, there is little encouragment to shop online.
I'm confident that when Australian retailers begin to offer a better online service than offline, etailing will improve dramatically. Amazon managed it years ago but few Australian sites have adopted those tools. For the foreseeable future, growth will be solid but it's unlikely to be dramatic.